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Manchester City vs Napoli Predictions UEFA Champions League 17th October 2017

Manchester City vs Napoli
UEFA Champions League 2017/18
Date: Tuesday, 17th October 2017
Kick-off at 19:45 UK/ 20:45 CET
Venue: Etihad Stadium (Manchester).


Unbeaten in all competitions this season, Manchester City look to gain ground in qualifying for the knockout stage of the Champions League for a fifth consecutive season.


The Citizens won their first two matches in the Champions League, 4-0 at Feyenoord and 2-0 at home against Shakhtar Donetsk to open up a 3-point lead at the top. A win against Napoli on Tuesday will put them in a strong position for knockout qualification.


Pep Guardiola’s men are coming on the back of a 7-2 routing of Stoke City on the weekend. The win extended their unbeaten run in the current campaign to 11 games with 10 wins and a draw.


Man City are on a terrific scoring form lately and took the tally to 32 goals in their last 8 in all competitions. A huge improvement is seen in the defensive department which was their weakest link last season, 6 clean sheets during the 8-match period.


Napoli lost to Shakhtar away from home on matchday 1, but bounced back with a 3-1 home win at Feyenoord. They are ranked third in the group, despite having same 3 points as the Ukrainians.


The Partenopei are on a sublime run of form since the start of the season. The defeat at Shakhtar is their only one in 12 games in all competitions and they had won in the remaining 11.


Also, the Serie A side boast of an incredible scoring form and average 2.8 goals per game from 12 games played so far this season.


Napoli are coming back on a 1-0 away win against domestic rivals Roma this weekend, which moved them to the topmost spot in the Serie A table.


Manchester City vs Napoli: Head-to-head


In their only previous Champions League meeting back in 2011/12 group stage, Napoli had the last laugh with a 2-1 win at home and 1-1 draw at the Etihad.


Manchester City have a strong home record against Italian sides – 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 6 games. Overall record is 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 12.


Napoli are unbeaten at home in their 5 meetings with English sides – 4 wins and 1 draw. But, they are win-less in equal number of visits to England, 2 draws and 3 defeats.


Manchester City vs Napoli: Predictions


It is hard to see anyone winning points out of Manchester City at the moment with the team looking in sublime touch in all aspects of the game. They had already beaten the likes of Liverpool and Chelsea without conceding this season and are no stranger to tricky fixtures.


Napoli’s current form can be considered superb and they are coming in good spirits after winning five matches on the bounce. But I am afraid that they are no match to this free scoring Citizens and could easily end up at the losing end.


Manchester City vs Napoli: Bet Tips


FT – Man City to win is a banker for 1.58 odds.


I find value in backing City to score at least 3 goals here – Over 2.5 team goals for 2.25 odds.


Brave Punters are advised to back to the Citizens to win on an Asian Handicap -1.75 for 2.55 odds.


I will be also backing Gabriel Jesus to score any-time during the match.


All Odds courtesy of 888Sport



Source : http://www.goalextra.com/2017/10/15/manchester-city-vs-napoli-preview-and-predictions/
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In the Eredivisie, with Heerenveen, they had 45 goals in 66 games, followed by 36 goals in 85 Bundesliga appearances for Wolfsburg. Making Bas Dost a substitute for Islam Slimani and Sporting’s biggest signing ever, it seemed to make sense at the time.


A past season from lion to chest, his purchase was even more justified, with the trophy of the best scorer of Liga NOS, thanks to the 34 goals scored. No matter how much the expectation among leonine supporters, few would be expected from the Dutch in their first season, more goals than those that Slimani, Liedson or Acosta ever made in one season.


But not everything is “roses”. The scorer’s start to the season has been somewhat erased, with only four goals in eight games and even less in the team. In this article I will try to compare the past season with this beginning of the season, in order to try to explain the lower production of “jersey 28”.


A one player system


It is not difficult to understand the type of player Bas Dost is. An area man (or target man for those who want to use the terms of “Football Manager”), which does little work in construction. Not for lack of will – there were several moments in the beginning of last season when we watched Jesus send the forward back to the big area, when he wandered to one of the lines, for example – but because the coach wanted to simply take the maximum advantage of Bas’s best features: aerial play and the ability to finish within area. That created a system that practically played for his striker, and that would ultimately be monetized the best, with the Dutch to score 50% of the goals of the team in the championship.


However, it is unlikely that a team will reach very high levels when it is so dependent on a single player to finish plays, which may also help explain the “lions” failure in 16/17. If the team’s model was not sustainable, maintaining Dost’s numbers was also not expected. The former Wolfsburg scored 40% of the total number of shots he made in the league, something absolutely insane and made him the most effective player in Europe last season, by wide margin. Just by comparison, Messi – definitely one of the best finishers in history – made only 21% of his shots last season. And even if we count only shots fired within the area, the conversion rate rises “only” to 27%. All this to say that, being Dost a finer than average, would always regress in the goals scored this season.



Source : http://www.goalextra.com/2017/10/15/bas-dost-who-turned-out-the-beacon-lights/
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In the Stadio Marc’Antonio Bentegodi, where Verona is host to Benevento, both sides meet. Both sides are struggling extremely in the Italian top class and a victory would be a great thrust.


Verona


Verona have collected just three points from their first seven games. Together with Genoa and Benevento, they are the only team that does not celebrate any victory in the campaign.


The team has scored only three goals so far and scored 16 points. Their 13-goal difference is pretty bad, and if they do not compete in the next games, they could easily hit the relegation at the end of the season.


Benevento


Benevento makes Verona’s suffering a child’s play. The newly sponsored site is already graduated. They still have to win a single point this season, as they had to suffer a defeat in each of the seven games that were played in Serie A.


The guests only scored twice while they collected 18 goals. Benevento is both the worst attack and defense of the league and are earned on the ground.


Verona vs Benevento: Direct Comparison


The two teams met twice in the preliminary round in the second league. The two teams that reached the Serie A got their last game, while Benevento scored the 2-0 home victory.


Verona vs Benevento: prediction


Although both teams are slowly entering the game to protect their goal, both Verona and Benevento will allow at least one goal. The two sides will look for the first win of the season and the upcoming game could change the season for the two.


Verona vs Benevento: Betting Tips


The main stake for both teams is 1.91.


If you prefer a higher risk and a better premium, you can get both teams in the second half at a rate of 3.50 on the result of YES.



Source :
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Las Palmas last season was one of the most feared in the Spanish Primera Division. But they are not far from this reputation this time, with most of their top players leaving Gran Canaria in summer.

The men in yellow had already lost 5 of their 7 games while they were in the other two winnings. They sit on 17th place in the table, a place over the descent zone due to the better goal difference with Eibar.

In addition, Las Palmas lost 2 of their 3 home games and will try to revive the home game against a Celta team known for their vulnerabilities on the road.

Celtas numbers in the table are slightly better than the opponents on Monday, but they are by no means impressive. Two wins, two draws and three defeats from 7 games gave them 8 points, which are only 2 points over the relegation zone. This means that they could be dangerous near the descent zone if points fall on Gran Canaria.

Celta is unbeaten in the last three games, but this is a little misleading. They were home to the freshly-promoted teams Getafe and Girona, while the descent threatened Eibar 4-0 at home.

Las Palmas vs Celta Vigo: Direct Comparison

Last season we saw an exciting encounter when they met in the Estadio de Gran Canaria. Celta went up 3 goals in 20 minutes thanks to an early rise from Iago Aspas. However, a combined effort from Las Palmas raised the deficit to earn the share of the prey.

The team is undefeated in 15 of the last 19 matches between the two, 2 draws and 2 defeats.

At home Las Palmas are undefeated in the last 9 games against Celta with 6 wins and 3 draws.

Both teams scored in the last six matches at the Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Las Palmas vs Celta Vigo: forecast

This could be a difficult issue as points are at stake for both teams. But Celta is an extremely bad team, and if Las Palmas can improve their problems in the attack front, the three points will be theirs.

Result Correction: 3-1 Las Palmas for 17.00 odds.

Las Palmas v Celta Vigo: Betting tips

FT – Las Palmas will win 2.45 odds.

Both teams meet and over 2.5 goals for 2.00 @ Bet365.


Source : http://www.goalextra.com/2017/10/15/las-palmas-v-celta-vigo-betting-tips/
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Signs of gambling problems


Gambling is not always fun. Everyone's experience is different, but here are some general signs of a potential gambling problem. The more signs you recognize, the greater the chance of a problem.
  • Constantly thinking or talking about gambling

  • Spending more time or money on gambling than you can afford

  • Finding it difficult to control, stop, or cut down gambling, or feeling irritable when trying to do so

  • Feeling a sense of emptiness or loss when not gambling

  • Gambling more in order to win back losses or get out of financial trouble

  • Thinking that your gambling will get under control as soon you have a ‘big win’

  • Borrowing money, selling things, committing (or considering committing) criminal acts in order to get money for gambling

  • Having increased debt, unpaid bills, or other financial troubles because of your gambling

  • Often gambling until all of your money is gone

  • Needing to gamble with larger amounts of money or for longer periods of time in order to get the same feeling of excitement

  • Experiencing extreme highs from gambling wins and extreme lows from gambling losses

  • Gambling to escape personal problems or to relieve feelings of anxiety, depression, anger, or loneliness

  • Getting irritated more easily or having less patience when dealing with normal, everyday activities

  • Feeling guilty about gambling or what happens while gambling

  • Getting criticized by others for your gambling

  • Having arguments with friends or family about money and gambling

  • Refusing to discuss gambling with others or lying to cover it up

  • Hiding bills, past due notices, winnings, or losses from your partner or family member

  • Gambling instead of attending family or other social functions

  • Neglecting family or household responsibilities because of gambling

  • Neglecting work because of gambling

  • Neglecting personal needs (e.g., for food, sleep, hygiene) because of gambling

  • Consistently or always planning holidays where gambling is available

If you are concerned about your gambling, or the gambling of someone you care about, please click here for free and confidential help. You can also contact customer service of bookmakers to know more about tools and helps to resolve your gambling troubles.
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The tone of Twitter contributions can help predict the outcome of football matches when combined with betting market prices as a study has shown.
 
Twitter activities can predict if a team wins and football betting is wrong, according to University of East Anglia (UEA) researchers in the UK.
The study, which was published in the magazine Economic Inquiry, examined 13.8 million tweets during an English Premier League (EPL) - an average of 5.2 tweets per second.
These were compared with in-play winners, which are available at the same time on the online betting Betfair.
They found that when the combined tone of the tweets was positive in a second during a match-measured by a microblogging dictionary-the team more likely to win than the betting market prices implied.
Tweets were particularly informative according to the goals and red cards, suggesting that social media content is particularly useful in assessing the implications and importance of new information.
Social media are used by various companies and agencies as a forecasting tool, but the researchers wanted to find out how useful and accurate it is. They measured the overall tone of all tweets for each team in every second of 372 games played during the 2013/14 season.
"We find that Twitter activity predicts match results after controlling the market price," said Alasdair Brown from the UEAs School of Economics.
"Much of the predictive power of social media is presented shortly after important market events such as goals and red cards, where the tone of tweets can help in the interpretation of information.
"In short, social media activities are not just feelings or misinformation. If combined, they can improve the prognosis accuracy in combination with a forecast market," says Brown.
The researchers designed a series of betting strategies to determine the degree of misjudgment social media predicted.
Using conservative estimates of commission paid to Betfair and a strategy where tweets are positive in a team, a weather would have earned an average return of 2.28 percent from 903,821 bets.
This corresponds to an average return of 5.41 percent in the games under investigation.
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William Carvalho is among one of the top ten European defensive midfielders according football statistics and analysis website , Squawka . 

 Oliver Young Myles, in an article in which he identifies the best “latches” to play in European football , draws up a list of the ten players in this core position that dominate in Europe, and the Portuguese international comes up with a curious nickname . “A midfielder who is a true mountain-man , William Carvalho has been one of the most acclaimed players in his position since he emerged in the first team of Sporting CP in 2013-14”, writes the English site , which details. “Carvalho is a specialist in cutting opponents’ game thanks to his cunning positional sense, which allows him to make vital interceptions in front of his defense.” And support this idea soon enough. “No player has added more interceptions than Carvalho (7) in Portugal’s Euro 2016 success campaign and since then has developed other facets of his game, such as the dribble – he has successfully completed his ten attempts in the league this season.” This list also includes two players who have already passed through Portugal . In sixth place comes the ex-benfiquista Nemanja Matic of Manchester United of Jose Mourinho , and in the first position appears Casemiro . The Brazilian, who has already played for FC Porto , is seen as a key player in the formation of Zinédine Zidane, with “more than twice the number of disarms (12 than any of the team mates at Real”).

 Source : http://www.goalextra.com/2017/10/14/william-among-the-%F0%9F%94%9F-best-seeds-in-europe-%E2%9A%93%EF%B8%8F/
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