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Showing posts with label Betting. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Betting. Show all posts
Do a quick Google search, and you will be swamped by dozens of websites that will promise to equip you with sports betting strategies that will make you invincible. You've got statisticians, marketers, betting experts, strategy consultants, mathematicians, and a lot of others, each proclaiming to have hit upon the elusive success formula that can help you beat the odds and regularly rake in thousands in winnings, week after week. Are all these 'experts' worth following? Ask yourself, do you have the time and mind-space to do so? These strategies, tips, and tactics will help you maximize your winnings, stay safe and secure, and above all, enjoy your sports betting.
Keep An Edge in Whatever Sports Betting You Do
There's a reason why it's called sports betting, and not sports gambling. That's because you can have an edge in your adventures in sports betting, unlike gambling, where you are always operating at a disadvantage, or playing with very little edge. The thumb rule of making it big is - don't do what everybody else is doing. As a beginner, it's natural for you to align your interests with what the public opinion is. However, note that your dream of making sports betting a major contributor to your financial independence plan is contingent on you identifying your style, original way of thinking, and above all, not following the herd.
Manage Your Bankroll
This is the oldest and yet the most useful tip you will ever encounter. To void betting with money you can’t afford to lose, manage your bankroll like a pro. If you have a budget of $500 for betting through the NFL, make sure you keep each bet pegged at anything between 1 to 5% of the bankroll. This helps you avoid catastrophic situations of losing a lot, or ending up chasing losses only to end in debt.
Do Your Homework
Here's a school lesson, back to haunt (just kidding) you. Luck will help you win every now and then, but not always. Remember, most sports bettors don't do any kind of research before they place their bets. This means that every incremental effort you put in analysis and background research will put you ahead of hundreds (if not thousands) of fellow sports bettors. Here's the minimum that you can do, to begin with:-
Understand the strategic aspects of the sports you are following for sports betting
Subscribe to at least 2 newsletters dedicated to a sport (ideally, these newsletters should be competitors)
Invest time in learning the basics of statistics to be able to make informed decisions when confused
Record your sports betting choices and their outcomes, to be able to make course corrections when need
Bookmark a sports betting resource website like Bet-Bonuscode, which offers tremendous insight from the world of sports betting, including strategies and news.
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Devise A Strategy, and Stick With It
Much like everything, sports betting is often overcomplicated. It's too tempting to explain all kinds of outcomes with all kinds of theories. You'd do well to distance yourself from non-value adding analysis and theorization. Selection bias, model over fitting, and over optimization (among others) are cardinal sins of sports betting that can hurt your chances. Instead, be confident of your strategy, and give it time to yield results. Of course, you'd need to keep monitoring outcomes and doing course corrections, without significantly altering your core strategy. Do not fixate on numbers. A simple strategy backed by intuitive logic is your strongest asset.
Don’t Fall For Baits
Take it from us, you will never be too far from a sports betting website that will sell you a dummy. Then, if you also manage some part of your sports betting offline, you’ve got to be well aware of the pitfalls. Sadly, there is a lot going around in the cyber-sphere that can disrupt the activities of straight thinking sports betting enthusiasts. Websites try to lure bettors by floating unrealistic bonuses and special promotions, only to cut them a shady deal later on. The thumb rule to remember is – background research. Before you decide to join a sports betting network, before you decide to follow an expert’s quick course in sports betting, do your homework, read reviews, look for demos.
Final Thoughts
Sports betting is exciting, rewarding, and entertaining. Adopt all these basic tips and tactics, and you will not only enjoy sports betting more, but will also earn more from your adventures, and will stay safe and secure from scammers. Remember, sports betting is best managed on strong grounds of financial discipline, and must be backed by your willingness to invest time and thought in bettering your understanding of sports.
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Corner football betting is a popular market for the experienced punter with an eye for patterns and game reactions. The basics are simple if not obvious, favorites that find themselves unexpectedly losing by one goal will act in a desperate manner to regain control of the score. This scenario usually leads to several factors that favor a high generation of corner kicks. The following reveals the basics but also two step by step techniques that are effective is applied with discipline and precision. While one seeks value going against the popular selections, Greg Gordon, a pro bettor that provides consultancy for bookmakers, teaches his own personal approach.
What Do the Numbers Say
Pinnacle Sports does a good job in scraping the numbers behind corners, these are the main data facts behind corner kicks:
Teams win more corners when they lose against similar opponents in strength.
Super favorites win an average of 6 corners when they win, and 8 when they lose.
If favorites spend most of the time attacking but fail to score, they gain a large number of corners.
Corners have a higher chance of being successfully defended by the concessions another corner.
Formula to determine number of corner won by a side:
Proportion of Corners=0.1818+(0.6365*P)
So if a game is expected to have an average of 2.6 goals and the favorite should score 2 of those goals, or 0.77 in proportion, that team should win 67% of the corners awarded throughout the game.
Corner Football Betting Tips
Both strategy, tempo and game pressure influence in great deal the amount of corner kicks that can occur during a match. The question is, should we favor pre-match or in-play corner football betting?
Pre-Match Bets
The real pro´s prefer to stick with in-plays, but pre-match bets provide odds as high as 2/1 for corner bets while in-play markets rarely surpass evens. The difficulty with pre-match is guessing the tempo and pressure in the game; but a quick look at common playing tactics, attacker playing style and the pressure to win the match due to the proximity of championship definition, can suggest if the amount of corners is going to be over or under for a certain team or overall.
Tip: Keep the odds well over evens with pre-match corner bets.
Corners + Cards
This strategy increases the paying odds substantially, bookmakers will offer around 4/1 on over/under corners and over/under cards.
Time of Corner Market
Odds can be as high as 5/1 when defining if a team will win corners in between 10 – 15 minute blocks. A very difficult prediction for pre-match, but if punters follow a particular team for the entire season and identify a pattern in their gaming style, the odds look very provoking.
Tip: Focus on fast starters.
Pressure Points Corner Betting Strategy
Take the Over in-play when the pressure to win is high (championship title, qualifier points etc.) and the losing side is controlling the ball with 1 goal against and less than 15 minutes till the end.
What changes here is the losing side has to risk everything to score in so little time. Corners will occur more frequently as all approximations to the rival´s goal will result in quick but poor guided shots that are deflected. At this point the winning side is holding down tired and nervous which results in most of those deflections ending as corner kicks and not controlled take overs.
Tip: This is the most used tactic in corner betting for In-play bettors.
Staking the Corner Under Strategy
In-play will always be the preferred betting market for the highly experienced and involved bettor.
But it isn´t either simple or as rewarding with odds that tend to be under evens most of the time.
The strategy looks easy, watch the game until the pressure is on to deliver results, like the favorite side losing to one goal with the first or second half near its end. This will almost always result in the losing side to attack more aggressively while opening more the defense; and the winning side to pull-back and hole down to prepare for the avalanche of attacks that will have to rely on long distance shots.
This scenario is the perfect mix for a great deal of corner kicks, but the astute and experienced will avoid staking an Over at this point. The odds will be unfavorable as the bookie lowers the price for the corner Overs, and usually after 5 to 10 minutes of aggressive play both sides tend to play a more secure style, focusing on controlling the ball and waiting for mistakes to spring into action.
Tip: Taking the in-play corner Under when the match is 0 – 1 against the favorite is a value betting tactic that should offer well above even odds and some logic behind it. Chances are the over score is on target, but an early equalizer can change the game scenario completely.
Greg Gordon´s Corner Betting Strategy, a Bookie Consultant
For those hunting personal experience tips the best has to come from Greg Gordon. Gordon is a journalist that has written for the Financial Times, Sunday Times, The Observer amongst many others. His journalistic career and personal relationship with a Scottish club led him to specialize in “Next Opponent Reports”, which are tactical analyses about rival teams. He also conducts player scouting and football betting consultancy for bookmakers and private clients.
Greg revealed on Quora his personal inplay corner betting strategy:
“One of my favorite in play betting strategies is to bet on a high number of corners in play when the prematch favorite is actively chasing an equalizer in the game.” - Greg Gordon
In order to stake the inplay the following conditions have to be met:
1. A high pace to the game with the ball switching wide.
2. Attackers receiving the ball near the byline instead of trying to cut inside.
3. Attack from the losing side (favorites) is quick passing and furious against a parked defense that references to the man.
4. Noisy crowd near the pitch rather than behind a running track (obviously this points to top
European leagues like the EPL and Spanish League).
When to Stake: Around 55-60 minute mark. But if a goal occurs way before the bet conditions are reached, reappraise the position or bailout. Goals tend to instantly change the tempo and style of the game.
The conditions in general for a corner betting strategy are very much the same. The strategy difference will vary depending on the staking method.
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An article about a soccer betting strategy that can work for anybody but is most suitable for multiple low-stake bids made daily. The strategy is well-explained and authoritative.
Are you ready to take on a low-risk soccer betting strategy that’s working for some very few people in the know?
This article is not really for people who want to earn high digits, but why not have this knowledge all the same or you can share the link to this article. You can use it for high-stake betting if you want.
It’s easy to get the hang of it. This is ridiculous, but I call it the B.D.S.M strategy. Well, err, that’s also an abbreviated version of this: ‘Bulk betting’ with ‘Double Chance’ and ‘Sure Win’ while aiming for a ‘Moneyback’ guarantee.
Bulk betting in this soccer betting strategy involves betting five (5) times a day with as low as one dollar (or more as your impulses dictate to you) for each bid. Using ‘double chance’ (in case it’s not a familiar term; depending on the site you use) involves placing bets on a possibility of either team winning — not win or draw.
‘Sure win’, of course, is just placing bets on a particular team winning. It’s a kinda ‘win win’ strategy eh?
Now ask yourself, what’s the worst that could happen if you bet five (5) times daily on ONLY seven (7) matches each with this system? This soccer betting strategy is working for me just so you know.
Preferably, you can make it a ratio of four (4) ‘double chance’ matches to three (3) ‘sure win’ matches. Just keep in mind that your ‘sure wins’ have to be teams that are winning almost every game or are far stronger than their opponents.
For the ‘double chance’ games, your decision-making tactics should be focused on matches between teams almost evenly matched in strength or with high morale to get a win — maybe ‘El Clasico’ kinda matches in which both teams really want that win.
The very good thing about this soccer betting strategy is that even if you win just one out of the five (5) bids, you still get all the money you staked for that day back. Just be certain to choose a sum of odds for each bid in order to multiply your stake by at least five (5). So if you are staking a dollar, you should be aiming at making at least five dollars.
What else is there to clarify about this system with the highest probability of winning? Now you know the surest soccer betting strategy with the lowest risks and low stakes (low earners). Now share the article’s link with your buddies in the hustle!
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- Value bet
This is actually the best of all the strategies. Betting on value in soccer entails surfing through the web to see the size of the odds that bookmakers allotted to teams for different markets. When you do this, you concentrate on the teams that the bookmaker has undervalued and bet heavily on those. You may not be looking to wager on the results of the game, you are simply trying to get the best off the bookmaker’s mistakes, and it works. Ascertain the real percentage that the booker is allotting to the team to come up with a particular result. Do your own research on the teams and see the real percentage they should get. If after your homework on their history, form, records, player availability and injury, you discover that their probability of achieving the result is higher, capitalize on that and wager.
- Not to lose bet
Another strategy that many punters use to come up with successful bets is by taking the more probable side. Forget about the winning and losing bets and bet on a team not to lose. Your team doesn’t have to lose and they do not have to win for you to make money. This is regarded as double chance by many bookmakers. You are betting on one of two different outcomes to happen. This may come with reduced odds or prize money. It is easy for you to know when 1 or both of the teams will play for a draw, or when the players that score the goals are not available.
- Goals
Another betting strategy that works in soccer is to jettison other things and focus on goals. This pays more than many other markets because it is a bit reliable when you know how to work it out. There are teams that are known to be high scoring in nature. These teams should be backed to score goals. In soccer, most of the elite teams with very prolific strikers are the best for these bets. You can also make this more certain by placing this bet when these high scoring teams are playing against teams that are weak. The best way to go about it is to increase the money you are staking so that whatever happens, you will gain good money.
- Draw bets
Many people run away from draws because it seldom happens. But there is a method of arriving at teams that will draw. Forget about score draws because it is difficult to predict. Search for those teams that find it very difficult to score each other. Pick two teams with powerful defense line or two teams with very weak attack line. In this case, the draw is a very feasible and workable strategy.
Which ever one of the strategies you decide to bet with, just make sure you can analyze and forecast the outcome of the game and you are sure on the path to great wins.
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I’m not a fan of the phrase professional gambler as it has the feel of an oxymoron. For anyone to earn a consistent profit from betting requires a tremendous amount of discipline, research and self-restraint (something that applies particularly strong in football). I am not attempting to come off here as some betting guru as I know I’m not but I have been able to make decent money doing this over the past three years, enough in fact that I feel I will share some of the tips I use to whoever is reading this.
- Practice makes perfect
When you start betting on football no-one knows for sure which market they are most adept at, if even at all. Practice is essential, even if it is with 10p stakes or on making notes of bets purely on paper and keeping note of wins/losses. Doing this on different markets will allow to gauge and hone whatever strengths you may have. If you find yourself constantly losing and running into an empty bank, that will be the indication you either need to change the markets you bet on or in fact should not gamble at all. Do this over and over until you are sure. Note how you do over 10 bets placed, 20 bets placed, 50 bets placed, 100 bets placed. It may appear to be daft betting with 10pstakes but it will be an important indicator of your abilities and weaknesses and should give you the confidence to bet or even deter you from gambling completely. You may have a hunch but it is best to let the stats reveal the answer to you.
- Starting Bankroll
Once you have singled out a market(s) you seem to be able to produce the goods in using small stakes , it is time for the real thing. When you start betting and intend to make considerable long-term profit it is extremely helpful to your cause if you get the ball rolling with a decent bankroll. Whatever you consider as decent is up to you but the bigger the better. The larger your starting bank, the bigger your stakes and the greater profit you can earn from the get go.
- Bankroll Management
This is one of the two most crucial factors in long-term profit from gambling. You must stake within your means. When I first learned how to play poker. I took for granted the importance of this but the more I played the more it became clear that this was key to betting long-term. Anyone who has played poker competitively will understand the significance of bankroll management. This is a large part in which discipline and self-restraint come to the fore. What I do is limit my bets to three stages – 5%, 2% or 1% of my bank. The deciding factor in which stakes are chosen from these three is dependent on my confidence of the bet landing.
The biggest reason for limiting stakes to those percentages is to weather any storm that eventually arrives. And it will arrive. No matter how good you are, you will lose bets. Staking to these percentages makes these losses very manageable and will prevent any serious chasing which may result in a wipe out of your total bankroll if you had lost a considerably larger percentage of your bank. This may seem extreme but in the heat of the moment when money is lost, you find yourself selecting bets you otherwise would never have picked if you were thinking clearly. Trying to see winning bets in selections you otherwise would never have touched if you hadn’t previously lost. Rest assured that almost every gambler who takes it seriously will have experienced such a melt-down at least once.
The percentage breakdown of the stakes do not have to be the same as mine, they can be bigger or smaller but limiting your stakes to fractions of your bankroll is important as losses WILL happen. It is imperative though that you follow your staking plan at all times.
- Research
Knowing what you’re betting on is vital. There are various websites out there that offer in-depth such as Soccerway or WinDrawWin. There are also various betting forums out there that may come in helpful. A very recent example of research aiding my own betting is the match between Moreirense and Benfica in the Portuguese League Cup. I knew Moreirense were bottom of the league and as they went 1-0 up against Benfica my instinct was to back Benfica outright at 1-0 down. However, a quick look on soccerway showed their League Cup is split into qualifying groups and this match was not necessarily a must-win for Benfica. I therefore avoided backing Benfica outright and just as well, the match finished 1-1.
Your general knowledge on football can also come in handy as it may reveal a side to the match others do not see. Shining examples of this would be altitude in South American. In the intercontinental tournaments, sides often suffer the problem of playing at an altitude they are not accustomed to. In the 2012 Copa Libertadores, it was no great surprise to see Bolivar beat Santos 2-1 in La Paz and Deportivo Quito hammer Universidad de Chile 4-1 in Quito. It was always on the cards that playing in places like Quito or La Paz, the two highest capital cities in the world, would mean the likes of UDC and Santos would struggle heavily as they are not acclimatized to such environments.
- Strike Rate
Along with bankroll management, this is the most crucial element of long-term profit. As previously stated, you will at some point back losing bets. They are impossible to escape. 1/100 shots are busted every single day. So whatever you back, it is imperative your strike rate is high. My preferred system (if I can call it that) is backing a goal in the second half of games. I always watch the matches I bet on for some time before I place the bet. The game has to be open and I do not bet a goal to happen in games that are currently drawing – one team has to be chasing the game. The goalscoring, or lack thereof, of both teams involved are also taken into account and the importance of the match along with a myriad of other defining factors This method does not work for everyone but it has been very effective for me. At the end of the day the choices you stake on are what you feel will happen accompanied with what the stats indicate may happen.
I may do another article later on other betting systems such as arbing, trading etc.
I hope this mini-guide helps some of you out there. They have helped me and many others I am sure who have adopted a similar mentality. Good luck!
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An article about a soccer betting strategy that can work for anybody but is most suitable for multiple low-stake bids made daily. The strategy is well-explained and authoritative.
Are you ready to take on a low-risk soccer betting strategy that’s working for some very few people in the know?
This article is not really for people who want to earn high digits, but why not have this knowledge all the same or you can share the link to this article. You can use it for high-stake betting if you want.
It’s easy to get the hang of it. This is ridiculous, but I call it the B.D.S.M strategy. Well, err, that’s also an abbreviated version of this: ‘Bulk betting’ with ‘Double Chance’ and ‘Sure Win’ while aiming for a ‘Moneyback’ guarantee.
Bulk betting in this soccer betting strategy involves betting five (5) times a day with as low as one dollar (or more as your impulses dictate to you) for each bid. Using ‘double chance’ (in case it’s not a familiar term; depending on the site you use) involves placing bets on a possibility of either team winning — not win or draw.
‘Sure win’, of course, is just placing bets on a particular team winning. It’s a kinda ‘win win’ strategy eh?
Now ask yourself, what’s the worst that could happen if you bet five (5) times daily on ONLY seven (7) matches each with this system? This soccer betting strategy is working for me just so you know.
Preferably, you can make it a ratio of four (4) ‘double chance’ matches to three (3) ‘sure win’ matches. Just keep in mind that your ‘sure wins’ have to be teams that are winning almost every game or are far stronger than their opponents.
For the ‘double chance’ games, your decision-making tactics should be focused on matches between teams almost evenly matched in strength or with high morale to get a win — maybe ‘El Clasico’ kinda matches in which both teams really want that win.
The very good thing about this soccer betting strategy is that even if you win just one out of the five (5) bids, you still get all the money you staked for that day back. Just be certain to choose a sum of odds for each bid in order to multiply your stake by at least five (5). So if you are staking a dollar, you should be aiming at making at least five dollars.
What else is there to clarify about this system with the highest probability of winning? Now you know the surest soccer betting strategy with the lowest risks and low stakes (low earners). Now share the article’s link with your buddies in the hustle!
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